@craigballard77

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

BLUE JAYS............. So we have established that Toronto Blue Jays baseball is a big deal for me.......as such we will take a look at their 2010 season together by braking the season into 6 27 game reviews (162 games in a MLB schedule so we will do an analysis once every 27 games to monitor the 2010 season progression)

14-13....3rd place in AL East......5 games behind 1st place Tampa Bay.......4 games behind NY Yankees for Wild Card.....1.5 games ahead of the struggling Red Sox, and the Orioles are already D.O.A

*The GOOD*

Las Vegas over/under for Jays wins this year is 68 (which is a 68-94 season) with only the San Diego Padres (66 wins) projected to win less games this year then the Jays......hard to refer to gambling as an investment but this team will surely win more then 68 games and the first 27 games have already produced 14 of them.....OVER bettors get paid in late August imo

7-3 Road record so far

Alex Gonzalez & Vernon Wells, pic to the right, celebrating a Gonzalez HR

The Jays have played Long Ball leading the Majors with 41 Home Runs.....Vernon Wells (finally healthy) and Alex Gonzalez both have 8 HR's while the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros each have 9 team HR's

SS Gonzalez had 8 HR's the last 2 years combined but already has 8 this year, plus is on pace for over 100 RBI's.......CF Wells has had one 20 HR season and zero 100 RBI seasons in the last 3 years but is on pace for 40 HR and over 100 RBI's this year

Ricky Romero

Starting Pitchers Shaun Marcum / Ricky Romero / Brett Cecil have combined for a 5-3 record with an excellent 2.70 era while 12 of their 14 starts have been Quality Starts (Quality Start is when a starting pitcher goes at least 6 innings or more and allows 3 or less runs)



Kevin Gregg (pictured right) has been moved to where he should have been all along, which is the Closer role.....he has a sparkling era of 0.75 and has given up only 1 run....in 12 innings Gregg has yielded only 7 hits, 2 walks.....15 strikeouts.....6 for 6 in Save opportunities

Shawn Camp - middle reliever - has a career 4.66 era but in 10 appearances this year he has a very good 2.63 era

Brett Wallace (currently at AAA Las Vegas.....he was a piece the Jays got in return for the Roy Halladay trade) has 9 HR's already in AAA which is a nice start to the heir-apparent to either 3B Edwin Encarnacion or 1B Lyle Overbay


*THE BAD*
7-10 record at the Rogers Centre

Small Ball? Moving the base runners around? no.....Only Baltimore has less Sacrifice Hits then the Jays in all of MLB.....and no team pinch-hits as little as Cito Gaston and the Jays


2B Aaron Hill has already had a stint on the 15-day Disabled List and is slow
to get going this year with a .224 average

Adam Lind started well but his batting average is down to .255 and he is only at 4 HR's....plus he is only tied for 4th on the team in RBI's

Dana Eveland - Scott Downs - Brandon Morrow - Brian Tallet - Casey Janssen all have era's in the 5's or 6's

Jays started off 4-0 in the AL East portion of their sched but have lost the last 5 vs AL East foes



*The UGLY*
Jason Frasor - in every one of his 5 save opportunities he has allowed the lead-off man to reach base all 5 times

Frasor and Jeremy Accardo both have era's over 8.00

Merkin Valdez has an era of 20.25
12 Jays have a batting average below .250 with Jose Molina - Lyle Overbay - Travis Snider the worst among them as all 3 are hitting below .200

Only the Cleveland Indians - who have only had 10 home games so far which is 7 less then the Jays - have a lower average attendance then the Jays.....small crowds have been the story so far for the 2010 Toronto Blue Jays



The next 27 games feature: 9 games within the AL East including first trip of the year to Fenway.....first Inter-League action.....10 game road trip......also an 8 game road trip to the West (Western road trips have nightmare-ish for Jays in recent years)

Go Jays Go

craig.ballard@hotmail.com